⚠ Confidential — Pilot Intelligence Summary — Methodology Withheld Pending Funded Agreement
Output Classification: This document is a Pilot Intelligence Summary. Water Signal Tracker™ outputs are classified as Evidence Reports, Signal Intelligence Briefs, and Operational Pattern Analyses — not report cards, audits, or evaluations.
"Water Signal Tracker™ does not evaluate operational decisions. It documents community-reported service conditions and observed outcomes."
⚠ Critical Finding
This report was built entirely from NAWASA's own public Facebook posts — official advisories, valve regulation notices, and system alerts — cross-referenced with timestamped community observations. No data in this report was fabricated or estimated. Every finding is traceable to a public institutional source. The community would not know this pattern exists without someone connecting the dots across 134 days. Water Signal Tracker™ connects those dots.
This Second Evidence Report documents 35+ NAWASA advisories issued between February 13 and June 17, 2026 — now 134 consecutive days — affecting communities across Grenada. Unlike the First Evidence Report, which documented community-submitted signal data, this report is built entirely from institutional source material: official NAWASA notices, valve regulation schedules, broken main alerts, and system recharge announcements. The data reveals a systemic pattern of cascading service restoration variances, missed restoration timelines, inadequate community notification, and a disconnection between declared service availability and actual household water access. One community — Morne Delice, St. George's — appears in NAWASA's own notices as early as March 2, 2026, and remains unresolved as of the date of this report.
Days Documented
134
Feb 13 – Jun 17, 2026 · Active
NAWASA Advisories
35+
Official public notices logged
Systems Under Regulation
12
Of 26 island systems · May 13 peak
Max Production Deficit
69%
Bon Accord system · May 13 disclosure
Institutional Pattern Findings
F1
The Crisis Began in February — Not May
The first documented advisory affecting the Morne Delice area dates to February 13, 2026 — St. Paul's and surrounding communities. By March 2, NAWASA issued a formal valve regulation schedule specifically naming La Borie, Mt. Airy, Morne Delice, Mt. Parnassus, The Bocas, Creighton, Holder Hill, and Parade under the Les Avocats Water System. The crisis that community reports captured in May was not new — it had been building institutionally for at least 95 days before the First Evidence Report was published.
F2
NAWASA Issued Disconnection Notices During Active Supply Disruption
On May 26, 2026, while 12 of 26 water systems were under valve regulation and multiple communities had been without water for weeks, NAWASA issued a notice advising that disconnection officers would be operating in listed communities — threatening service disconnection for accounts over 30 days in arrears. Customers were being notified of potential disconnection for a service they were not receiving. No exemption or acknowledgment of the ongoing supply disruption was included.
F3
Production Conditions Were Known Since May 13 — Disclosed 23 Days After Communities Were Already Affected
NAWASA's comprehensive dry season advisory on May 13, 2026 disclosed production deficits of 40% at Les Avocats, 47% at Petit Etang, and 69% at Bon Accord — facilities that had been operating below capacity since at least early May. Community members in areas served by these systems had already been without consistent water for weeks before this disclosure.
F4
Advisory Restoration Timelines Were Routinely Revised Without Follow-Up
Across the 134-day record, multiple advisories included specific restoration estimates that required revision: May 27 advisory estimated restoration by 2:00 PM May 28 for the Corinth/La Sagesse corridor; May 29 advisory estimated restoration by 4:00 PM May 30 for Cuma/Hope/Mt. Fann; June 4 advisory estimated restoration by 11:00 AM June 5 for Morne Delice system — confirmed unrestored as of June 6 at 12:17 AM. In most instances, no follow-up advisory was issued when an original timeline required revision.
F5
Communities Were Omitted From Advisories Despite Active Disruption
Multiple instances documented where communities experienced disruption without appearing in official notices: Morne Delice on April 4 — resident confirmed Day 6 without water, community not on NAWASA's published list that day; Grenville on June 5 — public comment confirmed water gone since before midday, Grenville not included in the June 4 advisory; Hope Vale — community member commented on March 19 Morne Delice valve regulation post: "But Hope Vale hasn't had water at..." — confirming disruption outside the official schedule window. The advisories systematically undercount the affected population.
F6
The Brandon Hall Dam Tampering Incident — A National Water Security Event With No Definitive Restoration Timeline
On May 14, 2026, the Brandon Hall Dam was deliberately tampered with, resulting in complete water loss from the facility. NAWASA stated: "the Authority is unable to provide a definitive timeframe for restoration." This event affected La Digue, Holy Innocence, Union, Battle Hill, Caruth, The Villa, Harford Village, and Cook Hill, and placed additional cascading pressure on an already stressed network.
F7
St. George's University Deployed Its Own Water Tanker — Confirming Supplementary Response Was Required
In the May 13 comprehensive advisory, NAWASA disclosed that St. George's University had officially deployed its water tanker and operator to assist with water deliveries in the southern network — indicating that supplementary response capacity was required to support service delivery during this period.
F8
Advisories Were Issued in Silos — No Single Notice Connected the Full Island Picture
Every advisory in this 134-day record addresses a single system, a single community cluster, or a single incident. Not one advisory connects the cumulative impact across all 26 systems. A resident reading any individual notice would have no way of knowing that 12 systems were simultaneously under regulation or that the same communities were being affected by overlapping service variances. Water Signal Tracker™ is the only platform that connects this data across systems, parishes, and time.
F9
"Effective Immediately and Until Further Notice" — Open-Ended Regulation Language
Multiple valve regulation schedules in this record were issued with the phrase "effective immediately and until further notice" — including the March 19 Morne Delice Valve Regulation Schedule and the May 26 Munich Water System notice. This language provides no restoration commitment, no review date, and no planning horizon for affected communities.
F10
⚠ New Finding · June 2026
Restoration Timeline Revision Events and Community Service Outcomes
On June 15, 2026, NAWASA issued an advisory for the Petite Bacaye / Red Gate / La Calome / Old Westerhall / Westerhall Heights corridor in St. David, with a restoration estimate of 8:00 PM that evening. On June 16, a follow-up notice revised the restoration timeline to 12:00 noon. Community-reported service conditions indicate water was restored to the corridor approximately 27 hours after the original estimate. Initial restoration was followed by community reports of reduced pressure.
This sequence documents a distinction between announced restoration timelines and observed household service conditions — the core measurement gap Water Signal Tracker™ was designed to make visible.
Notably, this event marks the first instance in the 134-day record where NAWASA issued a follow-up communication when an original restoration estimate required revision. This represents an observable change in communication behavior worth tracking going forward.
⚠ Accountability Finding — Disconnection Notice During Active Supply Disruption
NAWASA Issued Disconnection Notices While Communities Had No Water to Use
On May 26, 2026 — while 12 of 26 water systems were under valve regulation and multiple communities had been experiencing zero water access for weeks — NAWASA issued a disconnection notice advising that accounts over 30 days in arrears were liable for disconnection, with reconnection not guaranteed within 72 hours.
No cross-reference to the ongoing supply disruption appeared in the disconnection notice. No exemption was offered. No acknowledgment that billing periods overlapped with documented service restoration variances.
This is not a billing department error in isolation. It is evidence of institutional silos operating without coordination — the same structural pattern that produced fragmented advisories, open-ended timelines, and omitted communities throughout this 134-day record.
Infrastructure Investment Context
Infrastructure Investment Context
Carenage Waterfront · St. George's · June 2026
Water Signal Tracker™ observations during June 2026 occurred alongside visible infrastructure improvement activities across Grenada.
Photographs taken along the Carenage waterfront in St. George's document the staging of large-diameter pipe consistent with water infrastructure works, replacement activities, expansion efforts, or network upgrade projects. These materials are indicative of ongoing investment in water infrastructure and demonstrate that community-reported service disruptions are occurring within a broader period of utility modernization and system improvement.
Water Signal Tracker™ does not evaluate construction schedules, project execution, operational decisions, or infrastructure performance. Rather, the platform documents community-reported service conditions and observed outcomes while providing contextual visibility into publicly observable infrastructure developments.
The inclusion of these images is intended to provide operational context and to acknowledge that service interruptions may occur during periods of maintenance, repair, replacement, or network expansion activities.
📷 Insert IMG_3827 · IMG_3828 · IMG_3829
Carenage Waterfront · St. George's · June 2026
Recommendation
Retain this section in future Water Signal Tracker™ Evidence Reports. It reinforces the platform's role as a community visibility and intelligence tool rather than an evaluative or adversarial mechanism.
Illustrative Household Impact Observation
Household Impact Observation
Morne Delice · St. George's · June 2026
The following observation documents a household-level operational impact recorded during a period of reduced water pressure and intermittent supply in the Morne Delice area, St. George's.
Photograph documents laundry manually wrung and draped over a balcony railing — a household adaptation indicating that water pressure was insufficient to complete a standard washing machine cycle. The image illustrates the type of behavioral and operational adjustment residents make during periods of reduced or intermittent supply that do not appear in official service records.
📷 Insert F4D70400-4EE5-44BE-95E4-FC8F7C6301EE.png
Household laundry adaptation · Morne Delice, St. George's · June 2026
Signal Chain — Complete Observation
Community Report Submitted
Official Advisories Documented
Infrastructure Activity Observed
Household Adaptation Observed
Note: This is an illustrative example from a single household during the June 2026 reporting period. A funded 90-day pilot would expand household impact documentation across multiple communities and parishes to establish pattern-level findings.
Updated Pattern Summary
Advisory Types — 134 Days
Valve Regulation Schedules12+
Broken Main Incidents9+
System Recharges6+
Production / Capacity Alerts3
Security Incidents1
Disconnection Notices1
High Turbidity Events1 new
Restoration Timeline Revisions1 new
Accountability Gaps
Restoration Timelines — No Follow-Up4+ confirmed
Communities Omitted From Notices3+ instances
Open-Ended "Until Further Notice"5+ schedules
Restoration Timeline Unavailable2 new · Jun 16
Disconnection During Active Disruption1 confirmed
No Cumulative Advisory Issued134 days
Timeline Revision — Follow-Up Issued1 · Jun 16 ✓
Operational Event Categories Observed — June 2026
Broken Water Main
High Turbidity
Planned Network Maintenance
Bulk Meter Replacement
Restoration Timeline Revision
Total operational categories observed in June 2026: 5
Full 134-Day Advisory Archive
The complete chronological advisory log has been separated into a dedicated archive page to keep this report focused on findings, patterns, and decision-useful intelligence.
View Full 134-Day Advisory Archive →
The Pattern Is Documented. The Intelligence Gap Is Proven.
Water Signal Tracker™ is the only platform in Grenada combining community-reported service conditions, official utility advisories, and observable infrastructure context into a single intelligence layer. A funded 90-day pilot would expand coverage across all 6 parishes, produce monthly cross-system intelligence reports, and build the evidentiary foundation for infrastructure intervention, policy accountability, and resilience investment across the Caribbean.
This pilot intelligence summary demonstrates proof of concept. The full methodology, scoring system, analytics engine, monthly reporting framework, and predictive capabilities are withheld pending a funded agreement.